Paper Economy

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Ruin-Nation
Thoughts on “thinking” about the Roman Empire.
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Not the Right Man for the Job
For a brief moment, Fed Chair Powell was truly leading the with real backbone, but that moment faded nearly as fast as it had originally materialized.
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Time to "Rightsize" the Economy for a Reality-Based Future
As we leave the delusional "Everything Bubble" years far behind, getting "back to basics" will be difficult but ultimately a healthy trend towards a…
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Action and Inaction
The Fed created our current bout of runway inflation and only they can contain it, but to do so, they have to go big... Really big.
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FHFA Purchase Only House Price Index – What Goes Up, Must Come Down
The spectacular home price surge seen in the wake of the anomalous pandemic economic period is now beginning to abruptly reverse.
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The Inflation Conflagration
Given that the Fed's own reckless monetary policy is the source of today's inflation, will they finally show some responsibility and fight the rising…
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Forecasting the Coming Housing Collapse
Home prices have, yet again, been recklessly pumped up by the Fed's own "easy money" monetary policy leading to an even larger disconnect from…
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The Real Great Recession
The cost of the Fed and the Federal government's reckless response to 2008's "Great Recession" is finally coming due and with it, bringing a new even…
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Paper Economy
Macroeconomic analysis through commentary and data visualizations.
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